A minimalist model of characteristic earthquakes

A minimalist model of characteristic earthquakes

In a spirit akin to the sandpile model of selforganized criticality, we present a simple statistical model of the cellular-automaton type which simulates the role of an asperity in the dynamics of a one-dimensional fault. This model produces an earthquake spectrum similar to the characteristic-earthquake behaviour of some seismic faults. This model, that has no parameter, is amenable to an alge...

Forecasting characteristic earthquakes in a minimalist model

Using error diagrams, we quantify the forecasting of characteristic-earthquake occurrence in a recently introduced minimalist model. Initially we connect the earthquake alarm at a fixed time after the ocurrence of a characteristic event. The evaluation of this strategy leads to a onedimensional numerical exploration of the loss function. This first strategy is then refined by considering a clas...

Asymptotic Behavior of a Model of Characteristic Earthquakes and its Implications for Regional Seismicity

The recently introduced Minimalist Model [VázquezPrada et al, 2002] of characteristic earthquakes provides a simple representation of the seismicity originated in a single fault. Here, we first characterize the properties of this model for large systems. Then, assuming, as it has been observed, that the size of the faults in a big enough region is fractally distributed, with a fractal dimension...

investigating the feasibility of a proposed model for geometric design of deployable arch structures

deployable scissor type structures are composed of the so-called scissor-like elements (sles), which are connected to each other at an intermediate point through a pivotal connection and allow them to be folded into a compact bundle for storage or transport. several sles are connected to each other in order to form units with regular polygonal plan views. the sides and radii of the polygons are...

Regional Temperature Predictions from a Minimalist Model